If the election were held today Obama would defeat McCain by 336 to 189 electoral votes. Only Virginia is too close to call, but with only 13 electoral votes it would not make a difference in this case. Notice Obama wins Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida. Those are the three big swing states where the election will be won or lost.
Notice that Obama wins only two of the old slave states – Missouri (just barely) and Florida (which now has many Northerners). And loses only one of the old free states: Indiana. Given that he is black, that cannot be an accident.
Postscript: This was pretty close. Obama did win Virginia and picked up North Carolina too but lost Missouri, winning 365 to 173.
See also:
Leave a comment