The Republican bubble is the “parallel universe” that most Republicans in America live in, especially those on the hard right. It is a closed world of Fox News, Rush Limbaugh, right-wing opinion and white people. They sound like they are nuts because they are nuts.
They are not trolling: they are not saying crackpot stuff to gain attention, listeners or votes. They are serious.
It does not come from philosophical differences, from seeing the facts in a different light. It is worse than that.
It comes from cutting themselves off from knowable facts, from a lack of respect for truth, from accepting so many lies that they can no longer tell spin from fact.
Most Democrats live in a bubble too, but not an equal and opposite one. It has a greater respect for fact. It is less shut off from the outside world.
On the night of the 2012 election, Barack Obama prepared a victory speech and a concession speech while Mitt Romney prepared only a victory speech.
Since June most polls had been saying Romney would lose. The very same polls that had foreseen a Bush win in 2004. Yet when defeat came Romney was “shell-shocked”. He did not see it coming.
It was not just Romney. Others on the right also thought he would win enough electoral college votes (270 or more):
- 273: Ann Coulter, Fox News
- 279: Karl Rove
- 300: Newt Gingrich
- 311: Dean Chambers, Unskewed Polls
- 315: Michael Barone, National Review
- 321: George Will, Washington Post
- 325: Dick Morris, The New York Post, Fox News
Everything except the polls points to a Romney landslide.
Romney only got 206.
Silver dealt in numbers and mathematics, contrary in spirit to the Republican bubble, which:
- still doubts evolution and global warming despite the science and
- for years doubted Obama was born in America despite the state records of Hawaii.
Only 38% of Republicans in Ohio think that President Obama killed Bin Laden. Some think Romney did (15%). The rest (47%) are not sure.
Romney in the last days wasted precious time in states he had no hope of winning, like Pennsylvania. As if he had no polling experts.
At the second debate he made a huge mistake about what President Obama had said on Libya – apparently because he believed Fox News and the National Review.
Huge numbers came out to see him speak. But nearly everyone was – white. Because he avoided black and Latino neighbourhoods. Republican bubble.
- David Brooks
- Fred Barnes
- Monica Crowley
- Pat Buchanan
- Peggy Noonan
- Rush Limbaugh
- Michelle Malkin
- Rudy Giuliani
- National Review
Though some disagreed:
- Charles Krauthammer
- George Will
- Juan Williams
- Andrew Sullivan
- The Economist
Compare: In 2012 when Obama did poorly in the first debate almost no one on the left thought he did great.